India (best possible result: 69.30%)
India's victory in the first Test against Australia In Perth they returned to the top of the table.
They need to win three of the four remaining Tests in this series to secure a place in next summer's showpiece.
Australia (best possible result: 67.65%)
The defeat saw Australia slip to second place, but their hopes still lie in their own hands.
If they win five of their last six games they go to Lord's with a chance to defend their title.
Four wins might be enough, but anything less than five and other results matter.
Sri Lanka (best possible result: 69.23%)
As with Australia, it is a fairly simple scenario for Sri Lanka too. Win all four remaining games in the cycle and advance to the final.
It won't be easy against rivals South Africa and Australia, but depending on results elsewhere, three wins and one defeat could still be enough.
New Zealand (best possible result: 64.29%)
A historical series cleaning in India has secured New Zealand, Test winners in 2021, the chance of a return to the final.
Even a win in all three tests at home against England wouldn't guarantee a place in the top two, but it would give them a very good chance.
South Africa (best possible result: 69.44%)
As it stands, the Proteas need four wins from four to be fully assured of a place in the final.
Three wins and a draw would give them a great chance, while even three wins and a loss wouldn't completely wipe out their chances.
However, in both cases they would need different results in order to be able to go their own way.
England, Pakistan, Bangladesh And West Indies are no longer in the running for a place in the final.
But it's of course worth noting that everything could change again if a team is deducted points for a slow overrate, as five teams have done this cycle, including both England and Australia during the 2023 Ashes.
